Pure lunacy.
Right now, I have 10 sure R-D flips, tempered by 2 MN D-R flips, for 8. I have 7 others on the bubble.
For the life of me, I can’t find another 8 seats the Ds will win in the House.
They will get absolutely blown out in the senate, losing MO, MT, IN, FL, ND, AZ, and almost certainly now NV and OH (new poll has Rennacci down only 2.6 . . . from 8 just six weeks ago) and OH has a monster GOP lead in registration. So I now think both Heller & Renacci pull it out. Walker will likely pull Vukmir over. That’s 9 seats folks, without a longshot like MI or NJ or WV coming in.
So my estimate of 10 to 13 wasn't crazy ;-)
13 would be running the table and the longshot of longshots coming in Geoff Diehl over Liz Warren.
So LS am I out to lunch on that race or does Geoff Diehl have a decent shot like my gut is telling me? IMHO it is so parallel Stabenow here in MI, they are both arrogant, and think it is theirs, and they have real gladiators as their opponents, they won't even see it coming...