No. Read the specifics. It’s a telephone poll. Over sampled Dems 34 to 30%. South Jersey is majority Republican.
All you need to do to win is have large pluralities in North Jersey. Specifically Essex, Hudson,and Passaic counties.
I’m not saying he won’t be beat, as Governor Christie won 2 statewide terms, but rather it will be tough.
It would be accurate if South NJ had the edge in demographics.
It doesn’t and the populous Rat cities to the north outvote it every time.