The models are often completely wrong. I remember the Irma models from last year, one of them got semi-close to the actual track, and the rest of them were completely off base.
I’m in the upstate of SC and the models from a couple of days ago showed Florence moving directly to this location. Today they show a trajectory a couple of hundred miles north. I predict we will see more revisions to the north, because this thing needs to be quite a bit further south to match any historical storm track that hits SC.
True, but other times the models are dead on. Sandy’s track was predicted by the European model to a few miles of actual landfall. We’ll just have to wait and see. The reason the models don’t see Florence tracking north is because of the very strong high pressure above it.
Spaghetti models are just that, all over the place.