I really think Florence is going to end up significantly north of current projections.
I went through every hurricane storm track back to the 1960s and could not find one that started as far north as this one which made it to landfall south of Canada.
Isabel was the closest comp and it was quite south of this one in its path.
Well we never know, and things can change, but the models are all pretty consistent. The European model even agrees with the other models. Looks like Wilmington North Carolina is around the center of the ensemble models right now.
...a very strong ridge is forecast to build over the northwestern
Atlantic during the next few days. This pattern should steer
Florence west-northwestward at a much faster forward speed
by Tuesday.