Hi rodguy. While what you said is generally true, I think this time it is going to hit as projected. There is simply too much agreement on the models. I just watched Joe Bastardi’s update on Weatherbell.com, posted an hour ago. See the incredible graphic he posts at about the 6:10 mark. It is from the European ECMWF - which Joe just said is the best compared to other models. The path is around Wilmington, maybe a little bit north or south. The projected rainfall is nearly catastrophic in some areas. Much like Houston last year. The high pressure above the projected path is almost certainly going to steer it to where the models currently show.
See Windy.com
People in the path need to start preparations NOW. People in the flood areas (projected ) need to do likewise. We can wish it away, but if wishes were horses, beggars would ride.
bkmk
Having been through many hurricanes I have to remind people that hurricane conditions occur in a much wider area than just near the eye! The eye is what is being tracked, but the hurricane is many miles wide and NOT just the area near the eye is dangerous!