Yes Quinnipiac is always wrong however they get paid a lot to be wrong.
Case in point, 2016. Polling said, "No way Trump carries the Rust Belt". My home state was "a tossup".
Trump spent plenty of time in both, including parts of my state never seen by a presidential candidate, except out a window from 30,000 feet. And, he carried both, and my state by a fair margin.