Both Richard Baris and I now think Testicles is done in MT.
This will be another flip. I now have that as net gains for Rs of 4-6 seats.
If we hold BOTH AZ and NV, make it 5-7. NJ is a sleeper, but entirely doable. Could be 6-8.
Then it will come down to whether we can eke out a surprise in WI, WV, MI, OH, or PA. We could get one of those.
Bigger GOP pickup... increass chance that a reelected Manchin switches parties?
Can we compare him to Shelby & Campbell who switched as well?