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If you follow state by state on the Senate race....with the exception of Nevada, seats held by the GOP currently will likely remain in GOP hands. Nevada could still be a win, but you’d need a lot of Trump-effort to pull that off.

As for the Democrats....going state by state, I’d say they lose four seats, with another two in some 50-50 status.

There are two wildcards in this Senate race. One....the black vote going to Trump’s vision, and giving 40-odd percent of the vote to the GOP’s candidats (I know it might be a severe shock for the news media to accept that one). The second thing is the general vote in the thirty states that Trump won.

I will also go and suggest that in California....Feinstein is set to face de Leon (a Democrat) because of their funny rigged up race. I think Feinstein could possibly be beat (two to four points). That might be the one election to really watch.

If you were looking for another interesting race....Tina Smith’s race in Minnesota (as a Democrat) was fairly safe (six months ago). Today, Smith might only be 8-to-9 points ahead, and she appears to be a rather ‘unthrilling’ campaigner. Housley (at least what I’ve seen) might be more pumped up, and with some Trump-charm mixed in....she could easily make up five points and bring this to a fairly close race.