Chasing the black vote is like chasing unicorns, given black solidarity vis-a-vis all kinds of nutty issues, including kneeling for the national anthem. 10% more of the white vote (from ~60% to 70%) would seal the deal for the GOP. Jack up employment and wages via tariffs and immigration restriction, and white voters will follow.
Every extra vote is a vote. I wouldn’t “rely” on them, they’d just be icing on the cake.
Yeah, but the good thing is that if jacking up wages via trade and immigration restriction seals the deal with white voters, it’s going to have an even more dramatic effect with black voters, the vast majority of whom do not have the education and skills to insulate themselves from globalization, as so many whites do.
Of course getting a majority is a “unicorn”. But even the 5-10% that got shaved off the Dem vote totals between 2012 and 2016 was more than the margin of difference in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, maybe even North Carolina and Florida. If we could get 20% of blacks reliably voting Republican, Dem’s would be locked out of power nationally for a very long time.