This is a bogus poll. They heavily sampled Franklin County and under sampled Delaware County. That’s exactly what you need to do to skew the poll for the ‘rats.
The poll was also conducted for two days before Trump’s rally. This would skew toward the ‘rats as well.
Adjusting for the bogus skewing, I’d say Balderson wins by at least 4 to 5 points.
That would be lovely. Hope you’ve nailed it.
My concern is that Emerson has had some recent success. They called the Conor Lamb race.