Posted on 07/28/2018 1:52:47 PM PDT by centurion316
In 2014, a lot of Kansas Democrats were convinced that Gov. Sam Brownback was toast.
He ranked as one of the least popular governors in the country heading into that election. His tax cuts were widely derided as too much, too fast. The state was facing mounting budget deficits. A governor who had proclaimed himself to be pro-education suddenly was viewed as something else.
On the morning of the election, the respected political forecasting site FiveThirtyEight projected Democrat Paul Davis as having an 80 percent likelihood of winning the race.
But we all know how that election turned out. Davis proved to be a solid, but hardly flashy, contender. These days, hes a leading candidate to succeed Kansas Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins.
The lesson there? One of the oldest maxims in politics is youve got to beat somebody with somebody. And taking out an incumbent often means you need a special kind of candidate.
That brings us to the dilemma that 3rd District Kansas Democrats face these days. In an election that has the potential of turning out to be a blue wave for Democrats, the party has an unusually ripe opportunity to pick off Yoder and regain a House majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at kansascity.com ...
He’s got my GOP representative in Arizona beat.
Martha McSally: 12% Planned Parenthood, ACU 67%. Makes Flake look like a Lion of Conservatism!
She’s running for the Senate and would be better than her bisexual socialist opponent...but I’m hoping Kelli Ward will beat her. Doesn’t help having “Sheriff Joe” splitting the conservative vote, though. So I might end up holding my nose and casting a vote for one of the most liberal republicans in Congress.
The Cook Political Partisan Index for KS3 is +4 R and voted for Clinton in 2016. This district is full of lefty suburban women from Johnson County who are registered as Republican. It is one of the most vulnerable Republican seats in the country.
That’s a good question. Johnson County wasn’t a warm place for Bernie Sanders the other day, but they are unlikely to welcome Trump either. I think that economic growth, fulfillment of Trump campaign promises, and the overall national optimism will help. The issue will be decided on turnout. Will the Democrats in Kansas turn out. I doubt it. Will the women of Johnson County turn out and which way will they vote, R or D? I don’t know.
The idiots on this site are colossal. No understanding and no foresight at all. Just get rid of the guy. There I'll show him.
Like I said you are a colossal idiot. It’s worth repeating over and over again.
” The stupid is strong among some Republicans. “
At least, “We’ll always have “ McCain, Flake ...
I think you just keep repeating thing over and over and over and over and over in your ‘mind’. Works for you, keeps you away from sentient beings.
That’s the same excuse to elect EVERY RINO loser for the last 40 years.
Johnson County is already pretty affluent with low unemployment and high household income. If Kobach wins the nomination for governor then it may not be to the Floaters benefit. People will come out in droves to vote against him.
And yet many here discredit. District by district analysis done to show 42 GOP seats as Toss ups.
Don’t underestimate the effect of an improving economy on the voters of Leawood. They see balance sheets, revenue reports, upticks in business trends, and sales figures. They will like it and want more. As for Kobach, I would love it if he were Governor, but I don’t think that he can win this year, and if he wins the primary it will hurt the Republicans across Kansas. We could lose the Governor race and at least two Congressional seats. It would be a disaster.
Fine. Let the Dems take the House. And I can say I told you so.
Yes. We will win most of these, but we only have 23 seats to play with. The way you score in this game is this way:
R: xx D: xx
The side with the bigger number wins.
It really wouldn’t be him letting the Democrats take the house, it would be the GOP letting the democrats take the house by sucking as much as the GOP does.
At some point, there’s going to be a price to pay for betraying its base.
/shrug
I hope it happens, so I can say I told you so.
Every other Amish person I knew had the last name “Yoder.”
I’m not an idiot.
The GOP is a bunch of idiots.
I’m going to vote for my congressman, Gaetz, because I like the job he’s done for me, so you don’t have to worry about me being a snowflake, mkay.
But if other people aren’t happy with the job their congressman did for them, they have every right to vote or not vote as they see fit.
And yes, I know what the Democrats will do if they win the house.
No one is under any obligation to continue to elect a traitorous congress critter.
We lose the house and Trump is impeached. Think you’ve seen an open border before? You ain’t seen nothing yet
So, you cheerfully admit to being just another R cheerleader with no conservative principles. Thank you for the self identification.
Oh - and you’re back just in time to browbeat principled conservatives to vote against their own interests because a liberal wears an R jersey! BONUS!!!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.