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Could oil prices skyrocket to $200 a barrel … or more?
The Hill ^ | 07/24/18 | Simon Henderson

Posted on 07/24/2018 6:42:28 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

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To: Mr. K

Summer is half over...in Florida the kids next to me go back August 15

If you want high gas prices go to California...


21 posted on 07/24/2018 7:03:48 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: nikos1121

We still have net imports of 20% of our oil use. Demand exceeds supply. If the world price goes up, so does our price.


22 posted on 07/24/2018 7:04:01 AM PDT by jjotto (Next week, BOOM!, for sure!)
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To: nikos1121

Supply and demand. Trump’s economic policies have been working. The world economy is growing. This means more people want to use oil products. The oil market is either slow to respond, or OPEC-plus limits production and the price increases due to supply not keeping up with demand.


23 posted on 07/24/2018 7:07:37 AM PDT by CollegeRepublican
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To: Tench_Coxe
The Hill is a joke.

Seems like this guy posts everything they publish everyday.

Maybe he works for them and is trying to get somebody to read their chit.

Just as valid as...maybe oil goes to $200/B.

24 posted on 07/24/2018 7:09:41 AM PDT by skimbell
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To: CollegeRepublican

I know this, but do you think Trump will sit back and let oil prices go through the roof?


25 posted on 07/24/2018 7:11:24 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: Ron H.
"Liberal scare tactics leading up to an election."

I agree this is scare tactic but if oil prices do rise (as they do every summer for oft repeated reasons) can Democrats successfully use it against Trump and Republicans in the midterms.

It's something to be aware of before Democrats seize the issue and create their own narrative as to who is to blame.

People vote on wallet issues. If oil and gas go up they look for someone to blame and they blame those in power.

26 posted on 07/24/2018 7:11:29 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

They could.

Or... they could not.

This is ‘news’?


27 posted on 07/24/2018 7:14:26 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: nikos1121

We are producing more oil than ever. Why should prices go up?

I think they are building at one new refinery. This news must have been brought to us by the “Peak oil” group.


28 posted on 07/24/2018 7:16:23 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: yesthatjallen

Could Obama cause WW3?

Could Comey cause political prisoners to be jailed?

Could Loretta Lynch secretly destroy the justice system?

Could HilLIARy’s fat ass farts increase global warming?

.
.
.
I like this game


29 posted on 07/24/2018 7:16:56 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: yesthatjallen

Given steadily rising US oil and gas production? No.

Want to see investment and production in the US really explode? $100/barrel oil would do it. There’s effectively an upper cap on prices given North American production growth.


30 posted on 07/24/2018 7:23:55 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: nikos1121
“Trump will explode if the gas prices go up even 10 cents. This article is pure mental masturbation. Oil prices $200 a barrel. Ridiculous.”

Totally agree. The US, thanks to private sector fracking innovations, is the ultimate swing producer and, as oil prices rise, will expand production as fast as possible to meet demand.

Fracking innovation is moving at breakneck speed with efficiencies and production per well increasing as costs are falling. At even just $100 a barrel American production would increase very quickly and America will end up even more energy dominant than it is already.

Woe to OPEC.

"The Stone Age didn’t end for lack of stone, and the oil age will end long before the world runs out of oil.”
- former Saudi oil minister Sheik Ahmed Zaki Yamani in a 2005 New York Times article ‘The Breaking Point’

31 posted on 07/24/2018 7:32:23 AM PDT by WMarshal (Because we're America, Bitches!)
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To: jjotto

Cheaper prices increase demand. Once prices reach a certain point, demand will decrease forcing prices to decline. We have an expanding global economy thanks to the US.


32 posted on 07/24/2018 7:42:27 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Mr. K
"Close down the gulf oil traffic through the strait and watch how fast things get very bad for you..."

If you think closing down the straight would be bad for the US it would be catastrophic for Europe, China and the Asian tigers. China would beg the US to obliterate the mad dog mullahs and, if we refused, would likely try to take down Iran by itself. Germany would feel 'déjà vu all over again' as if it was having its oil supplies chocked off by allied bombing.

The US and Russia, like it or not, are the only energy independent superpowers and therefor would actually benefit in the long run if oil has a sustained spike. American manufacturing would benefit because of its far lower energy costs due to much cheaper electricity generated by natural gas, coal, and nuclear power. The chemical industry in America would boom even faster due to access to cheap natural gas as feedstock.

Would $200 oil cause pain, yes it would, but in the long run America would surge ahead of the pack even faster than it is doing now.

33 posted on 07/24/2018 7:51:36 AM PDT by WMarshal (Because we're America, Bitches!)
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To: yesthatjallen

“could.” Meaningless word. The Moon could fly out of its orbit and destroy the Earth.


34 posted on 07/24/2018 7:51:46 AM PDT by I want the USA back (This week's hysterical obsession: Trump tweet on iranian threat. Last week's: Trump Putin's Bitch.)
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To: jjotto

“We still have net imports of 20% of our oil use. Demand exceeds supply. If the world price goes up, so does our price.”

A large percentage of that net oil imports is actually exported as refined petroleum products so it is not as dire as you would think.


35 posted on 07/24/2018 7:53:44 AM PDT by WMarshal (Because we're America, Bitches!)
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To: yesthatjallen
This 9th Century pig fornicating knuckledragger seems to have the ability to bring the economies of the industrialized nations to their knees.

Just in case he does we,the United States of America,should light them up at the first sign that they plan to do so.

36 posted on 07/24/2018 7:59:20 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (You Say "White Privilege"...I Say "Protestant Work Ethic")
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To: nikos1121
We are producing more oil than ever. Why should prices go up?

Because a whole lot of oil comes out of the Arabian Peninsula.

37 posted on 07/24/2018 8:00:54 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (You Say "White Privilege"...I Say "Protestant Work Ethic")
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To: WMarshal
Would $200 oil cause pain, yes it would, but in the long run America would surge ahead of the pack even faster than it is doing now

I agree... Higher oil prices actually BENEFIT the US chemical industry, as it makes ethylene produced by Naphtha (Much of the rest of the world) FAR MORE expensive that ethylene produced by ethane (US). Many downstream businesses are driven economically by regional differences in ethylene prices.

I think global oil production vs demand is much closer to being in balance than people think. The last time prices were high, there was NOTHING The producing countries could do to bring it down. They couldn't produce oil fast enough. Since then, production capability has increased, while the world has been recovering from a deep recession. If global demand really starts heating up again, I could see the world getting to a shortage faster than many people expect.

The wild card here is: How much is conservation, and fuel-switching tamping down demand? I tend to think the impact is minimal. So, yea... I think the trend towards higher oil prices is going to continue...

Or, not. ;-)

38 posted on 07/24/2018 8:03:42 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!it)
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To: WMarshal
mmm...

Net means net, and the government figures include petro products, which is explained in the fine print:


39 posted on 07/24/2018 8:03:52 AM PDT by jjotto (Next week, BOOM!, for sure!)
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To: WMarshal
The US and Russia, like it or not, are the only energy independent superpowers and therefor would actually benefit in the long run if oil has a sustained spike.

Russia is not a superpower. The US is not energy independent.

In 2017, the United States imported approximately 10.1 million barrels per day (MMb/d) of petroleum from about 84 countries. Petroleum includes crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, liquefied refinery gases, refined petroleum products such as gasoline and diesel fuel, and biofuels including ethanol and biodiesel. About 79% of gross petroleum imports were crude oil.

In 2017, the United States exported about 6.3 MMb/d of petroleum to 180 countries. About 82% of total petroleum exports were petroleum products.

The resulting net imports (imports minus exports) of petroleum were about 3.7 MMb/d.

40 posted on 07/24/2018 8:07:05 AM PDT by kabar
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