The Dem Senate seats that are in play are:
Danger for DEMS
FL (Trump won by 1): Bill Nelson-D (AUG 24 Primary, current polling has Nelson behind Rick Scott 46-41)
IN (Trump by 19): Joe Donnelly-D already polling behind 48-47 to Mike Braun
ND (Trump by 36): Heidi Heitkamp-D down 48-44 to Kevin Kramer-R
WV (Trump by 42): Joe Manchin-D was polling behind Patrick Morrissey (44-46 on MAY 10), but now up 50-43 (JUN 19)
MO (Trump by 18): Claire McCaskill-D up, but only 48-44 over Josh Hawley
MT (Trump by 21): Jon Tester-D up 52-44 over Matt Rosendale in May, but Trump visited recently
Needing help
OH (Trump won by 8): Sherrod Brown, seeking his 3rd term in Ohio (GOP candidate is Jim Renacci, current polling at 51-38 for Brown)
WI (Trump won by 0.8%): Tammy Baldwin (AUG 14 Primary, Vukmir likely GOP candidate but polls behind 49-40)
PA (Trump won by 0.7%): Bob Casey (Lou Barletta is a weak challenger, 47-32 is the most recent poll)
MICH (Trump won by 0.2%): Debbie Stabenow, 40 yrs in MI politics (AUG 7 Primary, Stabenow polling 51-30 over both likely opponents)
(But NEV, TENN, and ARIZ are currently potential DEM pickups, too.)
This Nov Dems in Minnesota will elect 2 women without a fight?
Apparently, at least two threatened Democrat Senators have calculated that their pathway to victory is to be all in for the Bernie Sanders Democrats. Claire McCaskill in MO has decided that the cities of St. Louis and Kansas City, their suburbs and la la land of Columbia will pull together to bring her across the finish line. Therefore, she will likely oppose Trump’s nominee as she did with Gorsuch. Even though she has dirty tricks and voter fraud on her side, this is a risky move and I will predict that she will come up short.
I don’t know what Casey’s future will be, but he has adopted the same strategy. I am thinking that they have been drinking the Blue Wave Kool Aid and that by Election Day rolls around, the Wave may be a kiddie wading pool.
Apparently, at least two threatened Democrat Senators have calculated that their pathway to victory is to be all in for the Bernie Sanders Democrats. Claire McCaskill in MO has decided that the cities of St. Louis and Kansas City, their suburbs and la la land of Columbia will pull together to bring her across the finish line. Therefore, she will likely oppose Trump’s nominee as she did with Gorsuch. Even though she has dirty tricks and voter fraud on her side, this is a risky move and I will predict that she will come up short.
I don’t know what Casey’s future will be, but he has adopted the same strategy. I am thinking that they have been drinking the Blue Wave Kool Aid and that by Election Day rolls around, the Wave may be a kiddie wading pool.