Thirty years, and we're still waiting for global warming predictions to come true

American Thinker ^ | 06/23/2018 | Rick Moran

[SeekAndFind]

It was June 23, 1988 when NASA's Dr. James Hansen testified before Congress about the coming catastrophic warming of the planet.  He gave three different scenarios for the progress of global warming over the next 30 years.

Well, it's 30 years on from that testimony.  How did Hansen do?

Wall Street Journal:

Mr. Hansen's testimony described three possible scenarios for the future of carbon dioxide emissions.  He called Scenario A "business as usual," as it maintained the accelerating emissions growth typical of the 1970s and '80s.  This scenario predicted the earth would warm 1 degree Celsius by 2018.  Scenario B set emissions lower, rising at the same rate today as in 1988.  Mr. Hansen called this outcome the "most plausible," and predicted it would lead to about 0.7 degree of warming by this year.  He added a final projection, Scenario C, which he deemed highly unlikely: constant emissions beginning in 2000.  In that forecast, temperatures would rise a few tenths of a degree before flatlining after 2000.

Thirty years of data have been collected since Mr. Hansen outlined his scenarios – enough to determine which was closest to reality.  And the winner is Scenario C.  Global surface temperature has not increased significantly since 2000, discounting the larger-than-usual El Niño of 2015-16.  Assessed by Mr. Hansen's model, surface temperatures are behaving as if we had capped 18 years ago the carbon-dioxide emissions responsible for the enhanced greenhouse effect.  But we didn't.  And it isn't just Mr. Hansen who got it wrong.  Models devised by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have, on average, predicted about twice as much warming as has been observed since global satellite temperature monitoring began 40 years ago.

[SeekAndFind]

Thirty years of data have been collected since Mr. Hansen outlined his scenarios – enough to determine which was closest to reality. And the winner is Scenario C. Global surface temperature has not increased significantly since 2000, discounting the larger-than-usual El Niño of 2015-16.

Assessed by Mr. Hansen’s model, surface temperatures are behaving as if we had capped 18 years ago the carbon-dioxide emissions responsible for the enhanced greenhouse effect. But we didn’t. And it isn’t just Mr. Hansen who got it wrong.

Models devised by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have, on average, predicted about twice as much warming as has been observed since global satellite temperature monitoring began 40 years ago.

[CincyRichieRich]

I just posted to PDJT on the website that we need 2-3 new oil refineries like yesterday!

[Mastador1]

Forty years ago the fear mongers were hyping global cooling and the coming ice age.

[deadrock]

Per year, for the next 10 years.

[Delta 21]

[GoldenPup]

Bullshit then...Bullshit now.

[AzNASCARfan]

Exactly... We were taught about global cooling in school, I started in ‘71 and graduated in ‘83. It is why we banned all fluorocarbons which is the reason we lost the space shuttle when it lost a tile and those astronauts died, because it had foam when it first came into service until that was banned, not tiles they came up to replace the foam.

By 1988 they were changing to global warming and I immediately knew they were full of it and have argued the point every since. Simple logic our earth came out of an ice age before humans or man made hydrocarbons existed... Volcanoes can spew out more toxic gases in a day than mankind does in a month. Earth is on it’s own cycle that we dont control and that big glowing yellow ball that rises every morning has more to say about it than we do.

[FrankR]

While we’re at it, let’s think of one thing that 30+ years of “political correctness” has actually “corrected”.

[Jack Hammer]

More to the point: thirty years and all these “climate scientists” are STILL cashing on this science fiction gravy train at taxpayer expense.

Personally, I’ve log since grown tired of paying for the blood-suckers’ summer houses in the Hamptons, Porsches, and kids private schools and orthodontics.