Interesting observation on the regional difference. I don’t know one way or the other.
But I know turnout is the key.
Doesn’t seem that blacks have much enthusiasm for 2018 midterms. For Democrat victory in 2020 it is necessary (but not sufficient) to get them out to vote. That’ll take a black candidate IMO.
I wouldn’t say that. In the Democrat primary, cities like Chicago, Baltimore, Detroit, Philly and Pittsburgh all went for Clinton, who was obviously less leftward than Sanders. In the Deep South, Sanders rarely reached 30% of the vote. Sanders performed best in New England and the Pacific Northwest, mostly white areas. From my assessment, it’s white liberals who tend to vote for far-left candidates. Obama was far-left, but had he been white I don’t think he would have won the primary in ‘08.
Add to that the fact that in most southern states, blacks usually make up 1/3 of the population. In almost every other state they’re below 15%.