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To: PghBaldy

It makes absolutely no strategic sense for Iran to launch missiles against Israel unless there was a major attack on Iran from Israel. There is little doubt that Iran has positioned short range mobile stealthy missiles in Syria. The Iranians supplied numerous missiles to Hamas which they launched with little effect during the Gaza war. Iran was able to study Israel’s Iron Dome defense system when it was deployed. The presence of short range stealthy missiles in Syria was meant to dissuade Israel from attacking their nuclear facilities. No doubt the Israelis would stop most of Iran’s best missiles launched from Syria but not all. Yet even if Iran managed to severely damage some Israeli cities and inflict large numbers of civilian casualties, it would be a strategic disaster for Iran. The Israeli retaliation would be devastating and humiliating for Iran. The nuclear facilities would be destroyed, the Iranian air force and Revolutionary guards would be targeted and suffer greatly. The mullah regime might actually fall. Very much doubt Iran will launch an attack.


70 posted on 05/06/2018 3:47:47 PM PDT by allendale (.)
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To: allendale

“The Israeli retaliation would be devastating and humiliating for Iran. The nuclear facilities would be destroyed, the Iranian air force and Revolutionary guards would be targeted and suffer greatly. The mullah regime might actually fall. Very much doubt Iran will launch an attack.”


That’s true only if Israel uses nukes. Against Saddam’s Iraq, it was all Israel could do to knock out the Osirak reactor. Iranian targets are further. A lot further. No way Israel could bomb Iran comprehensively without resorting to ballistic and/or cruise missiles, which are extremely expensive. Note than Russia has now installed S-300 and S-400 batteries in Syria, which will further curb Israel’s ability to fly through that airspace. (And no, Israel hasn’t mastered teleportation - it needs to fly through hostile Arab airspace to get to its destination).


83 posted on 05/06/2018 4:03:33 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Journalism is about covering important stories. With a pillow, until they stop moving.)
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