I think this whole mid-term talk is mostly bogus. On the Senators....there’s a four-seat gain likely for the GOP. In the house, I could see five GOP seats in Florida affected by 18-year-olds voting along DNC patterns, and maybe ten seats nationally flipping to the Democrats, but it won’t change much of anything.
The other factor playing into this is the lack of DNC money....they are flat broke, and there’s been no real effort by Obama or Hillary to go and help them recover. They threw a ton of money in Alabama....every penny they could lay their hands on....but that only gets them and their one real win to 2020, and he has to run again.
The funny thing about this is that every election where the winner is wildly outspent by the loser (and it has been happening a lot lately) is a strike against campaign finance reform.
Money only counts up to a point.
I’m calling this...house stays with decent folks and the Senate picks up 6-8 seats
Respectfully disagree, I can easily see 10 seats flipping just in PA, WI, MI and OH alone....
The GOP will handily win more Senate seats, I would not be surprised by 6 or more seat gains in the senate.
The House however, if the GOP messaging for the fall is the same as they have been using in the special elections... they will definitely lose the house.
However, the one potentially saving grace is the D’s seem to be bound and determined to wipe out the enthusiasm gap they have, and very likely could motivate folks to show up and vote R in spite of the GOP ecospheres utter incompetence.
Things like the lawsuit they just launched and other things, if they keep this up, very well may destroy the enthusiasm gap they have and make winning the house impossible.
However, the way things stand right now, Dems will handily pick up easily 23 or more pink/purple districts due to low R enthusiasm and turnout. come fall.
The DNCdoesn’t need money from voters if they have Soros and his types spending hundreds of millions for them.