Poll: Democrats Lead in 'Intensity' But Fall Short of House Takeover

PJ Media ^ | Aprin 16, 2018 | Rick Moran

[ethom]

A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll casts a more realistic light on Democrats' chances. The numbers that would signal a blue wave just aren't there. And against all odds, the president's approval numbers are as high now as they have been at any time since he was inaugurated.

In the NBC poll, Democrats enjoy a 7-point advantage in congressional preference, with 47 percent of voters wanting a Democratic-controlled Congress, and with 40 percent preferring a GOP-controlled Congress.

That’s down from the Democrats’ 10-point edge in March, 50 percent to 40 percent, although the change is well within the poll’s margin of error.

In past wave cycles for Democrats — in 2006 and 2008 — the NBC/WSJ poll typically found Democrats with a solid double-digit lead in congressional preference.

But the current poll shows Democrats with a significant advantage in enthusiasm, with 66 percent of Democrats expressing a high level of interest (either a “9” or “10” on a 10-point scale) in November’s elections, versus 49 percent for Republicans.

Bottom line: Democrats are angry and angry people vote. Unless the GOP has a "get out the vote" program that exceeds anything previously seen, they are going to be in trouble.

But history also holds a cautionary tale for Democrats. Parts of their coalition, especially the young, minorities, and single women, may tell pollsters they are all fired up to vote and then fail to show up on election day. This has happened more than once and may be one of the things that will save the GOP from defeat.

The wild card is Trump himself, who, thanks to a booming economy, is enjoying his best approval numbers in a while.

[Deplorable American1776]

900 adults? We’re they 900 David Hogg or 900 illegals or 900 working class adults?

[trebb]

There will be no blue wave but, all conservatives have gotten from the establishment RINO’s has been a red herring.

And teaching "them" a lesson by giving away the whole Congress would be so dang sweet! Screw the best and possibly last chance we have for a real President to do some serious damage control before we sink below the waves.