If you think they'll just use nukes on the IC sites and sub pens, I have beachfront property to sell you in Cumberland, MD! I'm near DC, and that place will DEFINITELY be in the crosshairs if we go nuclear.
In a counterforce strike, the Russians would attempt to hit the land based missiles, our subs, bomber fields etc. Would they hit DC in the first salvo? If they are trying to decapitate the leadership and destroy our command and control, then yeah DC would get nailed, as would our FEMA continuity of government shelters that the Russians are well aware of I’m sure.
My point is, once you get a tactical exchange going, how do you stop it from being escalated into a regional or international strategic exchange? You don’t. Anyone arguing that a tactical release is not a bad idea is one of these war hungry neocons that think a nuclear war is somehow survivable