[Paul R.]

I read somewhere, might have been on LS’ Twitter feed, that this is a district with a 50,000+ Dem voter advantage? Can anyone confirm that? So if you’ve got a Dem who sounds like a moderate, and is a good campaigner, vs. a lackluster GOPe candidate, the outcome could definitely be close in an off year special election.

I also suspect the news of the Tillerson firing got out at just the wrong time, and the release of that news was not handled well. Maybe that could swing 1% of the vote?

That said, Lamb closed a lot of ground in a couple months, and there is little to suggest that the public’s view of Trump has changed markedly for the worse in that period. If anything, it is better. So, more likely some other factor recently came into play — we need someone “on scene” to best explain, I think. Did the Dems spend 4x or 10x as much as the Pubs?

[DoodleDawg]

I read somewhere, might have been on LS’ Twitter feed, that this is a district with a 50,000+ Dem voter advantage?

If it had a 50,000+ Democrat advantage then how come it's been going for Republican candidates by double digits for the past 18 years?