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Honestly at this point, there really isn’t much to comment on. This one is a turnout race, as nearly all special/mid term elections are.

Weather is fine.

Dems and Trump haters are motivated and will crawl over broken glass to vote...

I have felt Saccone and the GOPe pacs messaging has not been appropriate to motivate turnout outside the hard core R’s who were going to show up anyway.

Saccone should still win by a few points, but it should not be as close as it is going to be, and it is not beyond the realm of possibility that Lamb pulls an upset.

I believe and have from the start, that Saccone’s and the GOPe PACs messaging was tin eared in this race. Typical republican red meat, attempt to tie the D to Pelosi. This sort of messaging could literally be from any election for any R candidate for the last 15+ years.

Seems to me that The GOPE/SACCONE seem to want to just rely on the district makeup to pull them over the finish line.... not really put out a strong motivation to get the MAGA voters (Is and cross over D’s who showed up for Trump) to come out to vote.

If this is the messaging they plan to run in the fall midterms, R’s will lose a lot of close districts, and the house.

Time will tell... this one fully boils down to turnout. If I am right, Lamb may pull an upset. If it is closer than 8 points GOP needs to wake up to reality before fall and fix their messaging.