Posted on 01/17/2018 12:49:53 PM PST by SeekAndFind
“Who cares about a state election in Wisconsin?” you ask. Ah, well, Scott Walker does. He’s running for a third term as governor this year and the current he’s rowing against is getting stronger. A lot of data nerds, eyeing the trend in last night’s results in special elections in Wisconsin and elsewhere, care. And if something doesn’t happen to stop the Democrats’ momentum, we’re all going to care in November.
Romney lost Wisconsin in 2012 but took Wisconsin’s 10th Senate District from Obama. Trump won the state narrowly in 2016 but crushed Hillary in the 10th. The last Republican to run for state senate there, a longtime incumbent, breezed to victory with 63.2 percent of the vote.
Last night? Democrats by 11.
Walker’s message to Wisconsin Republicans: MISSILE INBOUND. THIS IS NOT A DRILL.
Senate District 10 special election win by a Democrat is a wake up call for Republicans in Wisconsin.
— Scott Walker (@ScottWalker) January 17, 2018
Biggest takeaway from last night: We can’t presume that everyone knows about the positive things we’re getting done for the people of Wisconsin!
— Scott Walker (@ScottWalker) January 17, 2018
Nationwide, notes Dave Weigel, Democrats have picked up 34 legislative seats during the 2018 to, uh, four for the GOP. Remember the scene in “Ghostbusters” where the EPA dork shuts off the grid and Venkman et al. start to inch away from the machine and out of the room, knowing the destruction that’s about to be unleashed? That’s what election analysts were doing last night looking at the results in Wisconsin vis-a-vis the midterms:
Here is a breakdown of Democrats' over performance tonight in all 4 contested special elections:
SC #HD99: D+13.08%
WI #AD58: D+24.90%
WI #SD10: D+27.52%
IA #HD06: D+20.44%That is an average Dem over performance tonight of D+21.49%
That's… significant.
— Aaron Booth (@ActorAaronBooth) January 17, 2018
Four close House special elections was a wake-up call. This is a five alarm fire. https://t.co/AsW92O9j6y
— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) January 17, 2018
Without an unpopular opponent for Trump, Trump's GOP's finding his unpopularity is crushing them electorally. Tonight's results on their own don't mean much, but, in context of 80+ state & federal legislative special elections, they're merely the latest sign GOP's in BIG trouble
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) January 17, 2018
*checks in on the special elections tonight* pic.twitter.com/kRyMVT0M0I
— Brandon Finnigan (@B_M_Finnigan) January 17, 2018
Can anything turn the tide — or at least slow it down a little? Well … maybe. The Times has some rare good polling news for the GOP today, finding a sharp uptick in approval for the new tax bill now that extra money’s beginning to show up in people’s paychecks.
The tax overhaul that Mr. Trump signed into law just before Christmas remains relatively unpopular and highly polarizing, according to a new poll conducted for The New York Times by SurveyMonkey. But support for the law has grown significantly over the past month, and more Americans believe that they will receive a tax cut. Forty-six percent of Americans strongly or somewhat approved of the law in early January, up from 37 percent when the bill was nearing passage in December.
At the same time, falling unemployment, accelerating economic growth and a surging stock market have made Americans increasingly positive about both their own finances and the overall economy. That could be good news for Republicans hoping to overcome Mr. Trump’s unpopularity in the midterm elections.
Michael Moran, a recently retired business executive in Georgia, said the economy in his town an hour north of Atlanta was “red hot.” The job market is so tight, he said, that he can’t even find an electrical contractor to perform repairs on his house.
The Dow has shot the moon, the economy’s booming, companies are paying tax-cut-inspired bonuses, and even blue-collar Americans are seeing more dough. In theory that’s a wave-buster. In theory. But last night’s results are what they are. God help the GOP if economic indicators, their one real breakwall in November, begin to disintegrate. Not even the Senate might be safe.
You get the government you deserve. If you don’t want to show up and pull the lever, someone else will and you’ll play by their rules.
Over 90% of ALL news attacks Trump. Even the weather. Social media has been proven to shut down all pro Trump posts.
You mean this is having an effect when even the Republican politicians cower behind walls and won’t stand up against the Communists? Color me shocked.
The bottom line is that nonstop negative propaganda works. It kept the “captive nations” of the world in thrall to Communism for a long, long time. Sure, some people got over the wall. But most did not try.
You better do what you want to do while you have the power to do it, because you may not have that power for long.
Far as I can tell, Republicans don’t want to do anything.
Its easy when the democraps do all the voting for them.
Was there 90% turnout again?
How much money did they spend?
How much vote fraud was there?
Exactly. No one told the dopes in that district to sit on their ass. They think that this new person is going to return their calls?
I hope to hell to not hear people there scream about “damn dirty Democrats” on anything. I hope this new guy submits tons of gun-grabbing, pro-abortion, and pro-illegals bills just so these hayseeds understand that no one owes them representation friendly to their views.
No need to panic, but the GOP must get out the vote.
AL has already shown us that little is safe when so many Republicans sit on their hands and avoid special and off-year elections.
The world is run by those that show up.
There’s no doubt the Rats we coming out BIG if we don’t it’s going to be a bloodbath.l am disgusted with the GOP but we cannot stay home.
Perhaps the data nerds will note that only 12% of registered Republicans turned out to vote.
Self-inflicted.
I’ll be voting to re-elect Matt Gaetz, but if Rubio was running, I’d leave it blank just like I did in 2016.
And yep, the Rats will be coming out big at the exact same time the GOP is purposely trying to lose its majorities.
Not looking good.
The turnout gap was the reason Roy Moore lost as much as anything. Media hysteria 24/7 has stoked the Dems.
There is no doubt this going to be a very bad election for the Republicans.
You have an unpopular POTUS with a 35% approval rating, a do noting, pro amnesty Republican congress and a very energized Democrat base coming out in droves in every special election. Plus the masses beleive the Fake News industry. Its going to be a bloodbath
And the left got complacent during Obama because media coverage was mostly positive. Now they are fired up due to non stop Trump bashing.
A lot of Dems did not get off the couch to vote for Hillary.
Minorities weren’t thrilled about her because she’s just about the whitest woman who ever lived.
Bernie’s fans were highly cheesed-off at her because she cheated their guy out of a chance to win the nomination.
Whenever the Dems stumble upon a strategy that actually gets their supporters off the couch and to the polls (as they did with Obama twice) we’re in deep-doo because frankly they have us outnumbered.
In 2020 Oprah promising to forgive all the student loans could be unbeatable.
There is no doubt this going to be a very bad election for the Republicans.
You have an unpopular POTUS with a 35% approval rating, a do noting, pro amnesty Republican congress and a very energized Democrat base coming out in droves in every special election. Plus the masses beleive the Fake News industry. Its going to be a bloodbath
—
Yeah! That’s it! Think positive!
/s
Don’t feed the troll.
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