[DanZ]

Therein lies the issue. Correlation with past events simply does not reliably predict short term future events in dealing with chaotic processes like weather, politics, and stock prices. There are simply too many factors that can significantly alter the outcomes.

Yes, I agree, the American revolution happened and we did not kill the Americans who supported the English. But the French revolution devolved into something else.

To me cycles exist - what eventually comes to pass will be documented by historians. 2000 and 2007 stock markets are much more the norm and can be instructional if you are interested in preserving you hard earned capital

[norwaypinesavage]

"2000 and 2007 stock markets are much more the norm and can be instructional if you are interested in preserving you hard earned capital"

I preserved my capital through the 2000 and 2007 periods, thanks. I didn't do it by paying money to charlatans that told me they could predict the future by looking at past 'cycles'.