Well, actually I took the 40-50% into account in coming up with the 15% figure for flu risk for unvaccinated individuals, as opposed to the usually published* number of cases actually occurring in the entire US population.
*So far as I can tell.
But where I think we really differ is in my factor for “severity”, and that I don’t judge a pharmaceutical risk / insult differently than a “natural” risk / insult, at least if the former has a fairly well established history.
Having said all that, I’ve been reflecting on that episode when that “inactive” ingredient in a vitamin C supplement whacked me. That was a “doosey”!
At any rate, it’s been an interesting discussion, tho’ I don’t think either of us will change the other’s outlook...
Take care.
Same to you friend.....