[kabar]

Not as unlikely as you might think. Dem turnout has been massive in all the special elections. They are energized and organized. The replacement of Corker and Flake give the Dems the opportunity to take these two seats. Unless the GOP can prove it can govern, there is a very real possibility the Dems can take over Congress in 2018.

12 of the 25 Dem seats are considered safe compared to 4 of the Reps. A lot will depend on whom the Reps select to run against Tester, McCaskill, Donnelly, Mancin, Heitkamp, and Baldwin, i.e., those I consider to be the most vulnerable. Heller is going to have a hard time being reelected.

2018 Senate Election Interactive Map

[Red Steel]

Taking the Moore election as a referendum for the 2018 elections is very misleading. The GOPe, the nonsense Media, the spurious accusations against Moore, and Moore was out spent that I’ve seen written up to 14 to 1. Couple all that with Moore was not very good on the campaign trail and it still ends up in a squeak win for the Establishment.

11 months is an eternity in politics. Heck a week is almost an eternity in politics these days. Trump will get the troops to show up. I believe he’s going to run the mid-terms like another presidential campaign or close to it. Like no other President in recent memory has done before. The bottom line, I like our odds a lot better than the Demwits for 2018.

[Lurkinanloomin]

Heller should not be re-elected, he has already voted for amnesty once.