[VanShuyten]

“...exemplifies why long term predictions on climate change (involving many more unknowns and variables) are very difficult to get right. “

Don’t conflate short-term and long-term predictions. I can’t say whether or not you will be dead tomorrow, but I am confident you will be dead 100 years from now.

[neverevergiveup]

I'm not conflating anything. My point is simply that it is much more difficult to model climate than it is to model something much more short-term and finite like the path of a specific hurricane.

The ability to accurately model and accurately predict any process is dependent upon understanding the mechanisms/determinants that define that process. There are many, many more unknown variables in climate science than there are in predicting the path of a hurricane.