Two points: first, the strength could certainly increase, given that the hottest water temperatures are about to be encountered. However, a brush with Cuba could mitigate that intensification. Joe Bastardi, for one, is still thinking that this could deepen a bunch and become a Cat 5 again.
Second: the European models (the ECMWF and UKMET) are both on a Key West direct hit. Most other models suggest something in the mid keys.
Thanks a lot. Much appreciated. Basically, a direct hit on my daughters house, Sugarloaf Key,glad she left.