[NautiNurse]

SUMMARY OF 0500 PM Advisory...
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Location...21.7N 73.8W
About 55 MI...NW of Great Inagua Island
About 495 MI...SE of Miami FL
Maximum Sustained Winds...155 MPH
Present Movement...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...925 MB...27.32 Inches

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[alancarp]

The northern coast of Cuba looks to be in play this morning, which follows the UKMET and Euro models. Irma is also now significantly south of the 2-days-ago NHC forecasted path.

Even if those models are right, though, 2 things:
1. the eye would only brush that coastline, and thus no significant weakening;
2. landfall in Florida would still be essentially the same: a direct hit on Key West, then up the middle of the state.