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To: janetjanet998

Yes, ECMWF has nudged it a bit more to the west. The second best model, UKMET takes it more into Cuba and even further west. It weakens quite a bit too.

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=096&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=072


769 posted on 09/07/2017 11:15:13 PM PDT by Moonman62 (Make America Great Again!)
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To: Moonman62

no way this is still a CAT 5 IMO...

should have been lowered at 11pm even more(might be post analyst) and recon has been showing winds decreasing since then

the NHC may be be conservative with the decrease so people won’t let there gaurd down with a “weaker” storm since it may come back

but trends are looking for better for the nightmare scenario of hugging the east coast then in GA/SC


771 posted on 09/07/2017 11:46:43 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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