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To: Paul R.

Possible. But we were told if it got over Cuba all bets were off. She just veered SW into Cuba.


1,642 posted on 09/08/2017 7:56:11 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: justa-hairyape

The trough is still too far off to have an effect. It also looks to me like the ridge may at present be pushing a bit harder than expected. Ie., maybe 50-100 miles additional “push”? But, both the “cone” and many models allowed for such. (Any one model “track” should be interpreted as, just to make up some numbers, “10% chance the center will be at “xy” location on the track at time “t”, 90% chance it will be somewhere else, but less than 10% chance at any other particular location than “xy” at “t”.)

(My apologies to any “real” meteorologists reading that crude explanation with fabricated numbers! Maybe one can explain it better...)

The question is, what shape will Irma be in when she (likely) makes the turn?


1,719 posted on 09/08/2017 8:28:46 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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