[Ray76]

Those are models, not the NHC forecast.

[TexasGator]

“Those are models, not the NHC forecast.”

Perhaps you should do a little study of how the NHC forecast is made and how they develop the ‘cone’.

[Ray76]

NHC director Ed Rappaport: “don’t pay too much attention to the models”

https://d3m037qqkidp3x.cloudfront.net/ISP/133/media/1504735480433_1504735635700/media1504736229129.html