Posted on 08/31/2017 2:01:31 PM PDT by Ray76
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM AST Thu Aug 31 2017
...IRMA BECOMES A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.3N 34.8W
ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1780 MI...2865 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 34.8 West. Irma is moving
toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion is
expected to continue today, followed by a westward turn on Saturday,
and a west-southwestward motion by Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h)
with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength,
both up and down, are possible, but Irma is expected to remain a
powerful hurricane for several days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
I think it could be Monday until we know where this thing is going. I understand there is a cold front that may effect the track.there are a bunch of variables,it looks like a 4 or 5 pretty quick.
for sure this one will be watched.thanks
That link is useless for all that aren’t members of that site. I don’t like paying for weather info.
Scroll down (you need to be on the “Home” page) until you see Joe Bastardi’s Icon. Underneath you will see “The Daily Update” with an right pointing arrow. Click it.
It is Free.
I don’t see how South Fla. misses at least some of Irma if not a hit. Although it’s really early and these tracks always tend to change. Also depends on how big in overall size they actually get.
Not too worried about Irma, it’s Ophelia that has me concerned.
Joe Bastardi is the Best, bar none.
Weather Gospel.
Look for yourself.
EARTH WIND MAP. Click and drag to move, mouse wheel to zoom.
Ultimate source is the Navy
thanks very much impressive,not much question about what you are seeing.
If you go to the NRL tropical cyclone page it gives the best your will get in tracking,the Navy is seldom wrong.
As of 9/6 they have it due east of Puerto Rico,after that who knows,their tracking ends there.
bkmk
Joe Bastardi says it may go into the Gulf as far NW as Mobile. He says the Euro model showing it closer to Florida is much more like than gov’t models showing it going farther north and east in the Atlantic.
No matter which way it will go, the same posters will be complaining about a), lack of preparedness, or b), needless alarmism. Looking forward to the unintentional humor.
” would be particularly destructive if it takes a direct beeline for the New York City area”
A CAT 5 up the Hudson River would be epic beyond Harvey.
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