Thank you for the insightful analysis. The Internet is suddenly replete with MT election experts - people who probably couldn’t pick the state out on a map.
Lake County (one of the state’s swing counties) is 54%-41% for Gianforte, though with just 6 out of 20 precincts in.
In 2016, Ginaforte narrowly lost it 47 to 49 percent to Dem Steve Bullock.
I had to get the Magic 8 ball a couple of minutes ago. It said "Stick to Pennsylvania".