Fieldmarshaldj had a pretty good analysis of this. See if he weighs in.
I’m puzzled why this article fails to mention that the NH GOP flipped a Dem-held seat at the same time they lost the GOP-held one. That means it was a wash in a very low turnout.
In the NY race, we don’t even know how much each side spent, but I saw a comment about the Teacher Union kicking $200k to the Democrat (and don’t forget with the very large Dem majority in the Assembly, a single seat lost or gained won’t matter, and the Dems have an advantage with any race in the state, even in a GOP district), and again, an embarrassingly low turnout that had Berniecrats being the only ones motivated to get out and vote.
The bigger concerns are the special elections in the Congressional races. If the GOP starts losing those (MT, GA-6, SC-5), then one can declare the party has a problem. We’re already seeing the fake news rolled out to try to cost Gianforte in MT at the last second. We’ll probably see similar fake news scandals right before the 2 races in GA and SC as well. Dems/Media are in such desperation mode.