[x]

Of course, there were people who voted for Obama in two elections and then voted for Trump.

But I wonder if people may be overemphasizing their number and importance and ignoring many Obama voters who stayed home in 2016 and also ignoring those who turned out for Trump last year after sitting out earlier elections.

[KyCats]

They address one of the those factors:

“She could have won, for instance, if African-American turnout in Michigan and Florida matched 2012 levels.”