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To: Brad from Tennessee; All

If anyone recalls, the original intelligence assessments regarding Russian interference in the US election concluded that the Russian’s purpose was not to benefit one candidate over the other. Instead, the purpose was to disrupt US politics and thereby weaken us.

In that, with the help of the “useful idiot” Democrats, they are succeeding.

To understand why the Russians would adopt such efforts is not difficult. They are working from a quite weak position, with their only real strengths being their nuclear arms, and petroleum exports. Yes, they have a considerable conventional force too, but, being such a relatively weak economy, they are hard pressed to sustain it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_military_expenditures

I’ve read estimates that, by 2020, Russia could fall 3 or 4 notches down that list... This is at least partially because so much oil and natural gas is being found that Russia’s share of the market may declining. Yes, there are plans for increased sales to China, but, realistically, if oil stays at ~$50 / barrel, the Russians are in deep doo-doo. The Chinese will buy at prevailing prices...

Now, if you are the Russians in 2016 watching Trump march toward the nomination, if Trump wins, and pushes through his agenda, that economic scenario gets worse. If Hillary wins, she continues lighting fires all over the place, straining scarce military money. Does she care about results like 400,000 dead in Syria? Are you kidding?

So, the best bet for the Russians would be to act as a disruptor, weakening whoever wins the US Presidency, creating internal strife, and so on. In this they have moved brilliantly, easily coopting the Dems, now that Trump is in Office.

The question is, do we, and Trump, keep the Trump Presidency on track? If yes, no earthly force can defeat this country for at least the next several years.


117 posted on 03/21/2017 7:27:23 PM PDT by Paul R.
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To: Paul R.

Oops, a “writo”: That should be “may decline”, in my last post.


118 posted on 03/21/2017 7:31:04 PM PDT by Paul R.
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To: Paul R.
For the U.S. the primary force of leverage against Russia today is the ability to affect the world oil and gas market. This began under Obama despite his all-out war on fossil fuel. Obama’s ideology and his corruption prevented him from ever developing an energy scheme that would advance U.S. foreign policy. Plus he surrounded himself with ignorant sycophants.

Hillary Clinton vowed to continue Obama’s fossil fuel crackdown and his bankrupting environmental regulations.

Russia's GDP has declined for four consecutive years. They are running out of cash. At $70 a bbl oil they were in a comfort zone. But at $50 they are in negative growth. At $30 Russia will be in an extreme crisis. And $30 a bbl will be the result of Trump's “drill baby drill” policy which he proclaimed from the beginning of his campaign.

Why Putin would wish a Trump White House over Hillary makes no sense.

121 posted on 03/21/2017 10:24:50 PM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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