Posted on 02/12/2017 4:26:47 PM PST by janetjanet998
Edited on 02/12/2017 9:33:58 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]
Probably.
How about the rains of 1993? In early December Lake Shasta and all the N of Cali was bone dry. When I flew into SFO on Dec 26, I think it was, the rains began. “Experts” said it would take years of normal rain to refill the lake.
By the first of April, the flood gates on top of Shasta dam opened up for emergency water discharge.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A slight chance of rain in the evening, then rain after midnight. At higher elevations rain then snow after midnight. Snow level 6500 feet after midnight. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch.
THURSDAY
Heavy rain in the morning. At higher elevations heavy snow and heavy rain in the afternoon. Snow level 6000 feet. Snow accumulation 6 to 12 inches.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Colder. At higher elevations snow showers. Snow level 5500 feet. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch.
FRIDAY
Rain. At higher elevations snow. Snow level 5500 feet. Snow accumulation 2 to 5 inches
FRIDAY NIGHT
Rain. At higher elevations snow. Snow level 5500 feet. Snow accumulation 1 to 7 inches
SATURDAY
Chance of rain showers. At higher elevations snow showers likely. Light snow accumulations possible.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Chance of rain showers. At higher elevations chance of rain and snow showers.
SUNDAY
Chance of rain showers. At higher elevations chance of rain and snow showers.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Rain likely. At higher elevations rain and snow likely. Light snow accumulations possible.
MONDAY
Rain. At higher elevations rain and snow. Moderate snow accumulations possible.
MONDAY NIGHT
Rain showers likely. At higher elevations rain and snow showers. Moderate snow accumulations possible.
Source:
3:30 PM PST http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?wfo=sto&sid=STO&pil=ZFP
2:02 PM PST http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ068
Station Name ID Elev. Date/Time Value INFLOW OROVILLE DAM ORO 900' 02/15/2017 19:00 26795 CFS http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/getAll?sens_num=76 OUTFLOW OROVILLE DAM ORO 900' 02/15/2017 19:00 99618 CFS http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/getAll?sens_num=23
here is a pic from today
not much more erosion up the hill but on the left side but it seems to be eating more out towards the left/north just at the waterfall
also notice the little stream of muddy water now coming off the hill on the left side just to the left of the main spillway....this is the muddy water the pilots were talking about in my previous post
also notice how the dozed out a road between the dam and the spillway
http://i.imgur.com/x7sgDJI.jpg
latest model data in and not good
after a moderate warm one tonight/tomorrow and a moderate cooler one over the weekend .....huge wet warm storm around monday
A wild guess, but I think that the area that they dozed below the dam might serve as a drop area for material that they dredge from the river. Apparently, the spilling of that much water and debris has caused a buildup, a damming of sorts, between the bottom of the dam and the rest of the river, which is preventing them from running the generators.
You can see, in other images, some flat barges in the water right below the substation.
Here’s a link for pix I don’t think I’ve seen posted before:
http://pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com/index
Click on “spillway damage”, currently 146 images in that gallery.
The long-term forecast has rainfall totals withing the watershed that are showing the exact spot where Lake Oroville watershed is located will get 11.62 inches of rain over the next 10 days, the most accumulated rainfall in the entire western USA:
This is mostly a global warming site, but, there are some interesting comments nonetheless.
I’ll be away from computer most of day and night too maggie, but will ping you if I can!
Bad omen here in Reno. It is currently 48 degrees. Overnight temps in that range, in the high desert, in February, is a warning of a very wet and warm storm approaching.
Station Name ID Elev. Date/Time Value INFLOW OROVILLE DAM ORO 900' 02/16/2017 06:00 34254 CFS http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/getAll?sens_num=76 OUTFLOW OROVILLE DAM ORO 900' 02/16/2017 06:00 100057 CFS http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/getAll?sens_num=23
Good morning, everyone.
God bless these guys working on the dam.
the models for monday are scary
it may be the wettest storm of the season
inflows may exceed 200,000 cfs at times IMO
latest data in shortly
Yep, and those are the 'deplorables' the execrable Left wants to hate.
The kinds of people that keep this country running day by day - from engineers to concrete pumpers to the ladies in the snack trucks.
A real winning philosophy from meatheads who have trouble tying their own shoelaces, ehh ? ;-)
An inch to an inch and a half on Friday afternoon and night, and 3.5 inches Sunday night through Tuesday midday. (Quincy, California. 40 miles upriver between the middle and north forks of the Feather River)
https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=Quincy%2C+CA&MR=1
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.936837392000484&lon=-120.94717696599969
—
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
311 AM PST Thu Feb 16 2017
DISCUSSION
[]
A light shower threat continues on Sunday as upper shortwave disturbances ripple through southwest flow aloft. Winds and precipitation increase rapidly Sunday night as a stronger, moister Pacific storm moves onshore.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Monday THROUGH Thursday)
Models continue to trend stronger with the system forecast to move into NorCal Sunday night and Monday as it taps deeper moisture over the eastern Pacific. Both GEFS and recent operational runs of the GFS and ECMWF have been indicating that the deeper moisture is likely to reach further north with an 24-30 hour period of moderate to heavy precipitation possible across much of the region. Unfortunately, the focus of heaviest QPF is lining up on the northern Sierra north of Highway 50 up into the Feather River basin.
Have boosted wind and QPF forecasts for Monday with 1-3 inches of rain possible in the valley and 3-10 inches of rain for the foothills and mountains. Snow levels forecast to briefly climb back into the 6000-8000 foot range as deeper moisture moves up from the southwest, but will return to around 4000-5000 feet by Monday night resulting in heavy snow across the higher elevations. Needless to say, impacts from the increased runoff, wind and heavy snow will be considerable.
Upper trough forecast to move overhead later Tuesday into Wednesday resulting in showers, but lower snow levels and lighter QPF. Potential for a couple days of drier weather late next week.
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=585165068348648&id=100005654793767
Video of national guard member talking with woman from Oroville.
Preparing for re-evacuation.
Please see post 1117.
I live on the western face of the Sierra’s at 4000 ft., and we were 62 degrees yesterday!
Jim for your info.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.