What was your analysis of Trump’s chances when he announced his candidacy in June of 2015?
What was your analysis in the August, November, January, March, May, July, September and October that followed?
Look at the data on Trump’s performance.
Look at the data on the performance of those who doubted Trump.
His chances of being elected in each month is not the issue. Please see my comment #59. Hope that clears it up for you.