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Victor Davis Hanson writes history in real time. His analysis is factual and irrefutable.

The Democrats could learn a lot by reading his post-mortem of the 2016 election.

1 posted on 11/12/2016 9:16:45 AM PST by Semper911
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To: Semper911

Good article.

5.56mm


88 posted on 11/12/2016 11:10:26 AM PST by M Kehoe
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To: Semper911

Well not so fast. Early on, Hanson WAS a neverTrumper who finally, grudgingly, saw the light. This had to hurt to write.

He is correct that NO other candidate could have won this. They would have wilted at the first nasty attack. And NO other candidate, including Cruz would have appealed to those PA/MI/WI/IA voters.


96 posted on 11/12/2016 11:53:55 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Semper911

Trump didn’t tear down or tear up the Republican Party. He simply used it to put an (R) after his name for identification. He ran WITHOUT the Republican Party and ran WITH the people of his new movement. The Republican Party is fully intact, just sitting there rotting as it was when he started this whole gig.


99 posted on 11/12/2016 12:25:46 PM PST by ThePatriotsFlag ( Anything FREELY-GIVEN by the government was TAKEN from someone else.)
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To: Semper911
Beyond that, even Trump’s admitted crudity was seen by many as evidence of a street-fighting spirit sorely lacking in Republican candidates that had lost too magnanimously in 1992, 2008, and 2016 to vicious Democratic hit machines.

I figured this out a year ago. I predicted that Trump would win the nomination and surmised that he had the best chance of winning the general election against Hillary Clinton. VDH hits two of the key reasons--(1) He could draw blue-collar voters who were not traditional Republicans (2) He is a street fighter. And we needed that to take on the Left Wing Hate Machine.

102 posted on 11/12/2016 12:51:09 PM PST by Lysandru
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To: Semper911

Wow, what a fantastic essay. Top notch.


103 posted on 11/12/2016 1:03:20 PM PST by Persevero (NUTS)
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To: Semper911

“The more Clinton played the identity politics card, the more she earned fewer returns for herself and more voters for Trump”

Very astute analysis from Mr. Hanson.


104 posted on 11/12/2016 1:11:18 PM PST by Senator Goldwater
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To: Semper911

this is a tremendous article. I think the NeverTrump types may not have all been necessarily anti-Trump at heart; they were so deathly scared of more Republican POTUS losses, and were just scared that the media would easily eviscerate Trump. Our record from 1992-2012 (inclusive) was 2 for 6; I can’t hate the ones for whom it wasn’t truly personal, but just wanted to avoid making it 2 for 7. 2 for 7 is less than a third: the kind of vote total Hillary got in West Virginia, which Bill Clinton won by double digits twice, most recently in 1996, 52%-37%.


105 posted on 11/12/2016 1:23:21 PM PST by ErikJohnsky
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To: Semper911
So, why couldn't Victor see this months ago, when he was NeverTrump? He speaks well now, but he was blind two months ago? Really?
106 posted on 11/12/2016 1:45:56 PM PST by ConservativeMind ("Humane" = "Don't pen up pets or eat meat, but allow infanticides, abortion, and euthanasia.")
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To: Semper911

It’s always great to have the perspective of people you respect and trust and who are consistent like Hanson and Rush to add perspective in good times and bad.


108 posted on 11/12/2016 4:22:01 PM PST by Eric Blair 2084 (I don't always drink beer, but when I do, I prefer to drink a bunch of them. Stay thirsty my FRiends)
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To: Semper911


110 posted on 11/12/2016 5:53:37 PM PST by Iron Munro (If Illegals voted Rebublican 50 Million Democrats Would Be Screaming "Build The Wall!")
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To: Semper911

Trump’s Republican critics variously disparaged him as, at best, a Huey Long or Ross Perot, whose populist message was antithetical to conservative principles of unrestricted trade, (open-border immigration???), and proper personal comportment. At worse, a few Republican elites wrote Trump off as a dangerous fascist akin to Mussolini, Stalin, or Hitler.

*********************************************************

Since when is it a conservative principal to ignore the immigration laws and permit open borders?


112 posted on 11/12/2016 8:19:43 PM PST by greeneyes
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To: Semper911

“The Democratic Party is now neither a centrist nor a coalition party. Instead, it finds itself at a dead-end: had Hillary Clinton emulated her husband’s pragmatic politics of the 1990s, she would have never won the nomination—even though she would have had a far better chance of winning the general election.”

Best part is, they did it all to themselves.

“The old blue-collar middle class was bewildered by the leftwing social agenda in which gay marriage, women in combat units, and transgendered restrooms went from possible to mandatory party positions in an eye blink. In a party in which “white privilege” was pro forma disparagement, those who were both white and without it grew furious that the elites with such privilege massaged the allegation to provide cover for their own entitlement.

Haha. He got their f@#$ing number.

In the aftermath of defeat, where goes the Democratic Party?”

STRAIGHT TO HELL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! And good riddance.


116 posted on 11/13/2016 6:41:34 AM PST by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: Semper911

Suggestion for Article of the year! BTTT.


118 posted on 11/13/2016 7:05:38 PM PST by Pagey (HELL is The 2nd Term of a POTUS who is a MALICIOUS DIVIDER of humans)
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To: Semper911
Cognitive Dissonance: This phenomenon is why a year ago I told you I was putting so much emphasis on PREDICTING the outcome of the election using the Master Persuader Filter. I told you it would be easy to fit any theory to the facts AFTER the result. And sure enough, we can fit lots of theories to the facts. At least 24 of them by CNN’s count.

Scott Adams Blog - The Cognitive Dissonance Cluster Bomb

Hanson's a rear running creep.

120 posted on 11/14/2016 7:28:21 AM PST by Stentor
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To: Semper911

There will be now endless articles and news items why what happened happened. I like to keep things simple and have said in years past here on FR that the most likeable candidate wins. Policies really don’t matter to the mushy middle who decide elections. My theory was sorely tested in the two 0 elections but maybe indeed for the US electorate he was more media likeable than McCain and Romney. In this one you had Trump and H who both had pluses and minuses although from our perspective here at FR H was close to the devil. Given those pluses and minuses for both the vote was close but Trump flipped enough states to win the EC.

One could say it was the tireless work Trump did or his talking about issues that mattered to the rust belt states which gave him victory but one could argue he was just a bit more likeable than H where it counted in those states he flipped. He also showed up at rallies in those states a lot more than H and maybe that made him more likeable on that factor.


122 posted on 11/14/2016 7:55:14 AM PST by xp38
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To: Semper911
Interesting essay. VDH is writing this under his Hoover Institute dateline, I notice, since a good part of it is highly critical of his colleagues at National Review. I took his initial distaste toward Trump as cultural: a California raisin farmer and academic's view of a brash, gung-ho New York entrepreneur. As personality polarity goes, that's pretty close to the extreme.

So yes, this was a fairly vigorous dig at NR as well as a fair articulation of what went into this very strange campaign.

The old blue-collar middle class was bewildered by the leftwing social agenda in which gay marriage, women in combat units, and transgendered restrooms went from possible to mandatory party positions in an eye blink. In a party in which “white privilege” was pro forma disparagement, those who were both white and without it grew furious that the elites with such privilege massaged the allegation to provide cover for their own entitlement.

Bingo. To have a spokeswoman as fantastically privileged as Hillary Clinton, lifelong apparatchik and multimillionaire on the public teat, shaking her finger at West Virginia coal miners as insufficiently appreciative of their privilege was probably the worst example of projection I've seen in a lifetime of political observation. And she was perfectly serious. 0bama's is a government of, by, and for wealthy social activists, and it didn't take all that long for the voting public to become sick of its pretensions. They're still out there, though, and they're furious.

126 posted on 11/14/2016 11:39:16 AM PST by Billthedrill
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