No. All I’m saying is how I’m interpreting the Title: “Likely Turnout Poll”
It means she isn’t getting the turnout they projected. But that must mean their “likely voter” model was bad.
I saw one of the pollsters likely voter model and for those who hadn’t ever voted or who hadn’t voted in a long time they had to answer 5 or more on a scale of 10 that they would actually go vote.
At the time, it seemed to me that if I wrote down “5” that I’d be saying 50/50.
That seems a sorry way to say someone is a ‘likely voter’.
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Hmm....OK, interesting! Thanks for clarifying!
No problem. I get to gushing sometimes when I write, and even I don’t know what I said when I go back to read it.