I’m looking at Indiana county votes, hoping to get 100% of precincts reported in some of them and then compare them to 2012’s Romney vs. Obama.
Haven’t found any at 100% yet, but so far turnout looks larger than 2012 and Trump is outperforming Romney by quite a bit, at least 5%.
Vigo county went narrowly for Obama in 2012, as an example, with 39,000 votes cast then. Right now, that county has 39 of 89 precincts reporting and Trump is leading, 11,300 to 8,600, or 55 to 42% and 20,000 votes have been cast with 50 precincts left to report.
Trumps vote in Indiana is apparently better than what the polls predicted.