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USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 11/08 -- Trump 46.8 (- 1.2) , Clinton 43.6 (+ .4)
USC/LA Times ^ | November 8, 2016 | USC/LA Times

Posted on 11/08/2016 12:10:17 AM PST by BlessedBeGod

11/08

11/07

Change

Trump

46.8

48.0

- 1.2

Clinton

43.6

43.2

+ . 4


(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2017polls; trumplandslidecoming
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1 posted on 11/08/2016 12:10:17 AM PST by BlessedBeGod
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To: BlessedBeGod

Last poll for the year.

Trump still ahead.


2 posted on 11/08/2016 12:11:58 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: BlessedBeGod

We’ll see how valid the D +7 turnout assumption is soon enough when polls open all around the country in several hours.


3 posted on 11/08/2016 12:13:37 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop
That makes NO sense at all.

Trump is down 1.2 and Hildabeast gains .4 ?

4 posted on 11/08/2016 12:15:39 AM PST by nopardons
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To: BlessedBeGod
Thank God no more of this.

I don't know why there are a dozen f-ing polls every single day. I guess they're easy clicks for media websites, and a lazy lead-in. Instead of any real news, they can just say "we start tonight with our latest poll..."

5 posted on 11/08/2016 12:16:06 AM PST by Trump20162020
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To: BlessedBeGod

Today’s poll slides Trump under the grey zone.

My feeling is he peaked at the right time.

In several hours, it will all be over.

Now its in the hands of the voters.


6 posted on 11/08/2016 12:16:53 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

Great day for Trump fell off. Doesn’t much matter at this point. This poll shows him comfortably ahead. I’ll take it.


7 posted on 11/08/2016 12:17:27 AM PST by Rokke
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To: BlessedBeGod

I’ll take a 2004 type win,, we’ll take that for a national final.. let’s get it on


8 posted on 11/08/2016 12:18:25 AM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: nopardons

Statistical noise.

It doesn’t change anything of real significance.

For those who haven’t already voted, go and vote!

Polls don’t.


9 posted on 11/08/2016 12:18:34 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: BlessedBeGod
In addition to not understanding the main poll, I don't understand this at all, either. It's the "Intention to Vote" poll. How can his supporters' intention to vote tomorrow collapse, and hers rise?



10 posted on 11/08/2016 12:19:26 AM PST by BlessedBeGod (To restore all things in Christ. ~~~~ Appeasing evil is cowardice.)
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To: BlessedBeGod

Not the trend we hoped for. It will come down to Florida, NC, and either PA, Michigan, or a lucky run of two smaller states.


11 posted on 11/08/2016 12:19:34 AM PST by nbenyo
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To: goldstategop

I kind of think they tweaked a few variables to get the poll where they think the actual vote will end up. And a little closer to where the other polls are. That keeps them from having their neck stuck out so far. They’ll get a lot of visibility once the election is over.


12 posted on 11/08/2016 12:21:19 AM PST by Rokke
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To: Rokke

Trump will do a lot better if the turnout assumption is wrong.

He’ll overperform relative to the last poll on Monday.

Hillary should get 42% max.


13 posted on 11/08/2016 12:21:23 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: BlessedBeGod

Who cares about polls, they are designed to demoralize you and suppress your vote.

Trump has fought a tough fight. He has been the fighter we have been hoping for, and he has fought hard for us. Now we need to return the favor and storm the voting booths and get him in the Oval Office.

14 posted on 11/08/2016 12:22:26 AM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: BlessedBeGod

They’re just herding to what the other pollsters are saying. Seriously, absolutely nothing changed from yesterday to today. You’re fretting over literally nothing.


15 posted on 11/08/2016 12:22:50 AM PST by Trump20162020
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To: nopardons

Must be voting for a 3rd party candidate or decided they are not going to vote?


16 posted on 11/08/2016 12:23:49 AM PST by DallasDeb (usafa06mom)
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To: nbenyo

Idiot. If you saw Trump’s rally in Grand Rapids MI tonight, you’d know the trend is exactly where it should be going.

No one is waiting for in line for hours in cold autumn weather to hear a loser.

The Big Mo is with Trump.


17 posted on 11/08/2016 12:24:04 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Rokke
Yes, it's called "herding" and Nate Silver was talking about how the pollsters are doing it right now.

Seriously, the ABC/NBC/CBS/Fox polls are all Clinton +4 right now. Has that happened at any other point throughout the entire race, where they all showed the exact same result? No. They are manipulating their final polls to match one another, so they look less bad if they're wrong.

18 posted on 11/08/2016 12:26:12 AM PST by Trump20162020
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To: DallasDeb

People who are still undecided are staying home.

I don’t see third party candidates getting more than 4% tonight.

All the polls assume the election is close. I’m not arguing with the data, just with their interpretation.

You saw what happened in Millsfield, NH. The potential for a big Trump win is there.


19 posted on 11/08/2016 12:28:42 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: nopardons

Do you put any stock in Reuters/Ipsos?


20 posted on 11/08/2016 12:29:12 AM PST by Salamander (With the lights out, it's less dangerous...)
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