Posted on 10/30/2016 8:48:24 PM PDT by Helicondelta
A hefty portion of the vote is already in. So I’m not sure this is meaningful.
Enthusiasm levels: Trump is +5 compared to past GOP candidates, while Hillary is -14 compared to past DEM candidates. And somehow she is leading, albeit within the margin for error. Right!
What percentage are you guessing have cast voted so far? :)
How much??
I did not see any internals with this polls. Anyhow Trump is gaining momentum and hopefully peaks on November 8. If CBS is involved that makes the poll suspect.
Ballots were mailed the 17th. Received by the 19th or 20th. The first weekend is usually big. Probably about half will come in from the last weekend to election day.
So maybe 20-30%.
There are only 22 POTUS candidates on the Colorado ballot. Fortunately, Trump is easy to find.
“A hefty portion”
As of Friday 697,414 early votes had been cast. Out of a total of 2.5 million if you assume the same turnout as in 2012.
Go Trump!
I think GOP turnout will be up now since Comeygate.
Personally, I’d prefer it be referred to as Weinergate.
“if you assume the same turnout as in 2012.”
That may be a spurious assumption.
That’s almost 30 percent. Wow.
Likewise, we don't see many Trump stickers, but - like us - many people don't relish the thought of their car getting keyed. I have seen approximately 10 Trump stickers, and a number of Trump yard signs, both very large and small.
We have seen zero Hillary yard signs.
People in Colorado seem to be REALLY fired up for Trump. The college students are mostly going third party. Everyone seems to distrust Hillary and dislike her in general.
In 2012 Obama won CO by 51 to 47.
Breakdown of D/R/I: 34/29/37. M/F: 49/51.
Obama won the male vote 51 to 46.
Obama won the female vote 51 to 48.
Thanks. So about 25%. Turnout should be higher in a presidential year.
I’m starting to think the entire election comes down to Colorado.
Trump wins there, and he will be President.
Copied this from HotAir comments:
Eric Simpson
ABC using a +9D poll (1 point higher than yesterday) has Cankles +1
AA early voting by blacks down 17% in FL and 21% in NC from 2012 (translates to losing 214,000 votes in NC & 120,000 in FL).
In FL Rs lead both absentees +early by 23,000 after one full week (red counties JUST STARTED!) This is unheard of.
VA: Portsmiuth, largest black district in the state, down 33% from 2012. Folks, they aren’t even going to win VA.
#BreakingNews: Republicans leading Dems in #Michigan Early Vote Ballot Requests by 90k and Returned Ballots by over 20k.
These are mind-boggling numbers. MI means game over. But PA will go with OH and MI.
Gravis Pollster: Johnson voters breaking to Trump.
Wow, Trump’s poll gains last week look just like Reagan’s 1980 surge.
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