New poll finds Trump gaining on Clinton in New Mexico

nmpolitics.net ^ | 27 Oct 2016 | By Heath Haussamen, NMPolitics.net

[struggle]

Peaking just at the right time...

[goldstategop]

Hillary is slipping, slidin’ and whirlin’.

Like sink water circling around the drain.

[Genoa]

All good news from here on in. As of Nov. 8 I give Hillary the eastern seaboard from VA north, DC, the west coast, and Hawaii. That’s it.

[fortheDeclaration]

No way the ‘L’ candidate is going to get 9% of the vote!

[refermech]

I already voted Trump, if he wins NM I’ll wear a trashcan over my head(like serpent head did) And I’ll like it!!

[ScottinVA]

All good news from here on in. As of Nov. 8 I give Hillary the eastern seaboard from VA north, DC, the west coast, and Hawaii. That’s it.

Don't be too sure about Virginia, either. GOP candidates tend to close fast toward Election Day. The race in the Old Dominion will be far closer than what we're seeing.

[Dr. Sivana]

I give Hillary the eastern seaboard from VA north, DC, the west coast, and Hawaii. That’s it.

Trump gets NH and Maine CD2, maybe Jersey.

HRC gets Illinois.

[Dilbert San Diego]

Virginia tightening up? Wasn’t Tim Kaine as the VP candidate supposed to nail down Virginia? Is Kaine not as popular in his own state as Democrats would have us believe????

[Genoa]

I wondered about Illinois before I left it off my list, but you can’t steal a landslide.

[ImJustAnotherOkie]

In my opinion there is nothing Hellary can do to recover. Her negatives are just too overwhelming. Wikileaks was death by a million cuts. She’s a non candidate.

[SarahPalin2012]

Don't be too sure about Virginia, either. GOP candidates tend to close fast toward Election Day. The race in the Old Dominion will be far closer than what we're seeing.

I agree about Virginia. The key thing that many people don't see is how close Gillespie and Cuccinelli were in their elections (with Cuccinelli having virtually no organized support). Virginia I believe still leans right with a good candidate.

[apillar]

New Mexico has a lot of Hispanics. Several polls have come out in the last few days (Florida, Virginia) that have Trump gaining ground and doing surprisingly well with Hispanic voters and at 30%+ is above where Romney was. Strangely enough, if you dig deeper in the polls there is a huge Hispanic gender gap, Trump is getting close to 50% with Hispanic men and only around 20% of Hispanic women.

I don't know the reason, but I remember during the primary that sociologist was saying that Trump was doing so well in the Republican primary among Hispanic men because he played well to their cultural "machismo" basically they respect a candidate that talks and acts hyper-masculine and comes across as a tough guy, on the other side of the coin, I doubt an elderly women who can barely stand is exactly going to rally them.

[trackman]

Interesting quote from the poll:

Just over 17 percent of likely voters in New Mexico say they associate with a party other than Republican or Democrat. Trump is leading Clinton by 3 percent among this group of Independent and other party voters. The poll also shows there are more Democrats supporting Trump, 20 percent, than Republicans supporting Clinton, 13 percent

[Genoa]

She's a non candidate.

Yup. And they can trot out another former beauty queen every day for the next 10 days, and it won't move the needle at all. Nobody's buying.

[ImJustAnotherOkie]

Yep, they shot their wad.

[LS]

I bet properly adjusted this is a Trump win.

[faithhopecharity]

It’s the young folks whose futures are really on the line. They will go
For Mr Trump — they want a future And they’re smart. They can see HilLIARy will keep on with Obama s destruction or weakening of America and our economy ( jobs!)

[Covenantor]

[LS]

Bingo. All the “women” stuff? It actually works with AA men and Hispanics.