The decrease in AA turnout is huge, 20% fewer than in 2012 when Romney won the state by 3%. It will be interesting to see if the percentages change over the weekend. If the numbers hold, NC could move into safe Trump territory.
Yes, the AA vote will determine the election. Take Ohio, Romney won independents by +10. He still lost because of the inner city vote. I don’t how much Hillary will benefit as much as Obama.