I’m cautiously optimistic about PA due to Philadelphia being part of the equation. He probably does very well in that state outside of that city. I also wonder if he may also still pick up a good deal more of the white Catholic vote in Philadelphia than Romney did (and beats Hillary hands down with that group)?
The GOP has filed a suit seeking to overturn a PA law which says poll watchers must be registered voters in the district they intend to watch.
I expect the courts to try and stall. Based on recent precedent the GOP should win this (which would be HUGE in tamping down the Philly shenanegans).
The key in PA is turnout, both Democrat turnout (of course, in many cases fraud and multiple voting) in Philly and Trump turnout elsewhere.
That is why polls can be very wrong on PA.
Coal!!!
I wish I could share your optimism about PA.I,for one,am quite optimistic about OH,FL,NV and NC but as you may,or may not,know PA is actually Philly and Pittsburgh...both being cities where a huge percentage of the population receives some sort of government check...welfare,disability,"paycheck",retirement check,etc.I don't know how things work in Canada but here in the US if you get any kind of government check (with the possible exception of a military paycheck or retirement check) you're highly likely to vote Rat.