“He has a very narrow path to an electoral win. He basically has to run the table with the swing states of Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Colorado, and Nevada. Hard to do but certainly not impossible.”
If he wins some of these states: Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Virginia, or PA he can lose one of those.
Iowa is in the Trump camp as is one of the Maine congressional districts. Trump is not going to win Virginia, Michigan, or Pennsylvania and doesn't need to if he wins the states I mentioned. All are of those are within reach.