#2 - I already posted the IBD/TIPP poll earlier today which showed Trump up 2 - not only is it a "valid" poll - in fact they were the best in the last 3 presidential elections
#3 - Rasmussen also has Trump ahead +2 and is a more normal poll
#4 - none of the polls are really that scientific and do what they use to - 30-40% of the population doesn't have a phone line, there is no single cell phone director and the cell #s are ported all over the country, only 5-6% of people actually answer the phones and many polls use internet responses just like the PPD. Then the pollsters try to figure out who the 30 to 40% are lying about their intentions to vote (roughly 9 in 10 registered voters will say they are voting but only 60%-65% show up) and then most will re-weight those results to what they think the projected turn out for either D/R/I or by demographics (by age, race, etc). Pew reported after they and many other missed 2012 that various assumptions made their poll spread by as much 8% delta from what they reported.
How do the pollsters take into account the massive voter fraud the Demonrats are famous for? Is that just part of the Demonrat vote numbers?
How do the pollsters take into account the massive voter fraud the Demonrats are famous for? Is that just part of the Demonrat vote numbers?