But let us assume that I am wrong, that the polls you cite which show a virtual tie or Trump slightly behind are accurate, the situation even so it is not much improved for Trump because of his daunting task of overcoming the Democrat advantage in the electoral college. Trump must virtually run the table of the battleground states, if he stumbles in the wrong place, or stumbles twice virtually anywhere, he loses. With the polls you cite, Trump runs a very high risk of failing to put together 270.
A loss in Florida would be fatal, a loss in North Carolina nearly fatal. Do you like his numbers in those states? Do you like his numbers in the other battleground states? Are you sure he will stumble or do you believe the odds are that he will somewhere?
