NBC/WSJ poll sample shows 46% voted Obama in 2012 and only 34% voted Romney. 15% didn’t vote at all. So, corrected for likely voters, 54-38% bias to give her an 11 point lead. Am I wrong?
You’re not wrong in the sense these numbers are skewed and a disproportionate number voted for Obama.. but their internals show D+7 - D+9